Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Southern
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#259
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#260
Pace72.0#75
Improvement+5.8#14

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
Improvement-0.2#174

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#265
Improvement+6.0#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2012 220   High Point L 64-86 53%     0 - 1 -28.6 -15.2 -12.1
  Nov 16, 2012 298   @ Campbell L 82-101 50%     0 - 2 -24.7 -1.1 -22.1
  Nov 20, 2012 158   @ East Carolina L 72-82 18%     0 - 3 -6.2 -8.2 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2012 160   @ Virginia Tech L 76-87 19%     0 - 4 -7.3 -5.9 -0.2
  Nov 28, 2012 240   Duquesne L 72-73 58%     0 - 5 -8.8 -10.2 +1.5
  Dec 01, 2012 19   @ Missouri L 56-72 3%     0 - 6 +0.7 -9.7 +10.3
  Dec 08, 2012 256   @ Western Carolina L 64-70 36%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -8.2 -9.0 +0.6
  Dec 16, 2012 318   @ UMKC W 81-71 55%     1 - 7 +2.9 +9.0 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2012 194   @ South Carolina L 69-74 23%     1 - 8 -3.1 -7.5 +4.7
  Dec 22, 2012 338   Presbyterian W 78-70 87%     2 - 8 -9.8 -4.9 -4.7
  Jan 08, 2013 249   @ Wofford W 50-49 35%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -0.9 -10.7 +9.9
  Jan 12, 2013 208   Elon W 80-70 49%     4 - 8 2 - 1 +4.4 +2.7 +1.4
  Jan 14, 2013 289   UNC Greensboro W 83-70 71%     5 - 8 3 - 1 +1.5 +1.6 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2013 309   @ Chattanooga L 88-91 OT 52%     5 - 9 3 - 2 -9.4 -4.1 -4.8
  Jan 19, 2013 287   @ Samford L 68-72 46%     5 - 10 3 - 3 -8.8 -0.1 -9.2
  Jan 24, 2013 282   Georgia Southern W 64-62 OT 68%     6 - 10 4 - 3 -8.6 -13.8 +5.2
  Jan 26, 2013 70   Davidson L 56-79 18%     6 - 11 4 - 4 -19.0 -14.8 -5.6
  Jan 30, 2013 157   @ College of Charleston L 59-72 18%     6 - 12 4 - 5 -9.2 -9.6 +0.2
  Feb 02, 2013 256   Western Carolina W 74-65 61%     7 - 12 5 - 5 +0.3 -4.5 +4.9
  Feb 07, 2013 282   @ Georgia Southern W 91-86 OT 44%     8 - 12 6 - 5 +0.9 +2.6 -2.5
  Feb 09, 2013 70   @ Davidson L 52-87 7%     8 - 13 6 - 6 -24.6 -20.4 -3.1
  Feb 11, 2013 340   Furman W 72-66 87%     9 - 13 7 - 6 -12.1 -8.4 -3.5
  Feb 14, 2013 208   @ Elon L 58-61 26%     9 - 14 7 - 7 -2.1 -9.4 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2013 289   @ UNC Greensboro W 76-68 47%     10 - 14 8 - 7 +3.0 +0.6 +2.4
  Feb 20, 2013 331   The Citadel L 77-80 OT 85%     10 - 15 8 - 8 -19.7 -15.1 -4.4
  Feb 28, 2013 287   Samford W 70-67 2OT 70%     11 - 15 9 - 8 -8.3 -8.7 +0.4
  Mar 02, 2013 309   Chattanooga W 86-60 75%     12 - 15 10 - 8 +13.1 +0.9 +11.0
  Mar 09, 2013 340   Furman W 74-60 81%     13 - 15 -0.9 -4.7 +4.3
  Mar 10, 2013 70   Davidson L 62-65 12%     13 - 16 +4.2 -2.4 +6.2
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%